Air China Ltd Stock Performance

AIRYY Stock  USD 18.22  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Air China holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Air China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Air China is likely to outperform the market. Please check Air China's sortino ratio, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Air China's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Air China Ltd are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile basic indicators, Air China showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow5.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.5 B
  

Air China Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,512  in Air China Ltd on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  310.00  from holding Air China Ltd or generate 20.5% return on investment over 90 days. Air China Ltd is currently producing 0.3609% returns and takes up 3.2988% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 29% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Air, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air China is expected to generate 4.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Air China Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Air Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.22 90 days 18.22 
about 14.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air China to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.65 (This Air China Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Air Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air China Ltd has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Air China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Air China Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Air China Ltd has an alpha of 0.3247, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Air China Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9218.2221.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3514.6520.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5618.8622.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5117.4319.35
Details

Air China Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air China Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Air China Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Air China Ltd has accumulated 53.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.25, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Air China has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air China until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air China's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air China sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air China's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 74.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (16.64 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.36 B).

Air China Fundamentals Growth

Air Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Air China, and Air China fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Air Pink Sheet performance.

About Air China Performance

Evaluating Air China's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Air China has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Air China has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Air China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Europe, North America, Japan, Korea, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. Air China Limited is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited. AIR CHINA operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 86624 people.

Things to note about Air China performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Air China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Air China Ltd has accumulated 53.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.25, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Air China has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air China until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air China's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air China sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air China's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 74.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (16.64 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.36 B).
Evaluating Air China's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Air China's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Air China's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Air China's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Air China's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Air China's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Air China's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Air China's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Air China's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Air China's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Air China's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Air Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Air China's price analysis, check to measure Air China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air China is operating at the current time. Most of Air China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.